6.6 Science and Technology

Research Outcomes:

• "Will quantum computer solve 2048-bit RSA in 2025?" (YES/NO)

• "Number of successful SpaceX launches 2025?" (ranges)

• "Will room-temperature superconductor be confirmed?" (YES/NO)

Climate and Weather:

• "Will 2025 be hottest year on record?" (YES/NO)

• "Number of Category 5 hurricanes in 2025?" (0, 1, 2, 3+)

• "Will Arctic sea ice reach new minimum?" (YES/NO)

Platform Example:

"ScienceMarkets"

• Academic and research community

• Markets on paper replication, research outcomes

• Integration with ArXiv, research databases