6.2 Political and Governance Predictions

Election Markets:

• "Who will win the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election?" (10+ candidates)

• "Which party controls the Senate after midterms?" (3 outcomes)

• "UK Prime Minister in 2026?" (20+ potential candidates)

Policy Markets:

• "Will the Federal Reserve cut rates in Q1 2025?" (YES/NO)

• "Number of rate cuts in 2025?" (0, 1, 2, 3, 4+)

• "Will student loan forgiveness pass?" (YES/NO)

Platform Example:

"PoliPredict"

• Political prediction specialist

• Partners with news outlets

• Embeds markets in political analysis content

• Revenue from high-engagement political events