8.1 Four-Phase Roadmap

Phase 1: Protocol Development

Objectives:

• Complete LMSR smart contract development

• Build platform registration system

• Develop SDK and documentation

• Security audits and testing

Key Milestones:

• ✅ LMSR core library (compute-optimized)

• ✅ 4-program architecture deployed to devnet

• ✅ TypeScript SDK v1.0

• ✅ Comprehensive test coverage (>90%)

• ✅ Security audit by tier-1 firm (Zellic/OtterSec/Neodyme)

• ✅ Bug bounty program launch ($100k pool)

Deliverables:

• Mainnet-ready smart contracts

• Developer documentation

• Platform integration guide

• Frontend reference implementation

Phase 2: Launch

Objectives:

• Mainnet deployment

• Protocol platform registration

• Initial market creation

Key Milestones:

• Mainnet deployment (all 4 programs)

• Protocol's official platform registration ("Path Markets")

• 100+ initial markets across categories

• Trading competitions ($50k PATH rewards)

Launch Targets:

• $1M trading volume in first week

• 5,000+ unique traders

• 50+ markets created

• 10M+ PATH staked

Marketing:

• Partnership announcements (5+ platforms)

• Influencer campaigns (crypto, prediction markets)

• Media coverage (CoinDesk, The Block, Decrypt)

• Community building (Discord 10k+ members)

Phase 3: Ecosystem Growth

Objectives:

• Platform ecosystem expansion

• Creator incentive programs

• Volume growth and liquidity depth

• Community governance activation

Platform Partnerships (Target: 20+ platforms)

Tier 1 - General Markets (2-3 platforms):

• Broad prediction market platforms

• User acquisition focus

• $10M+ monthly volume each

Tier 2 - Niche Specialists (10-15 platforms):

• Sports: "SportBets", "CryptoBets"

• Politics: "PoliPredict", "ElectionMarkets"

• Entertainment: "PopMarkets", "ShowBiz"

• Regional: "IndiaPredict", "LatAmMarkets"

Tier 3 - White-Label/Embedded (5+ platforms):

• Media integrations (news sites, blogs)

• Social platform integrations (Discord, Telegram)

• Gaming/esports platforms

Creator Incentive Program:

Total Budget: 50M PATH (from community rewards allocation)

Tiers:
├─> Tier 1: High-volume markets (>$1M)
│   └─> Bonus: 10,000 PATH per market
│
├─> Tier 2: Medium-volume markets ($100k-$1M)
│   └─> Bonus: 2,500 PATH per market
│
└─> Tier 3: Quality markets ($10k-$100k)
    └─> Bonus: 500 PATH per market

Duration: 6 months
Expected markets created: 5,000+

Targets:

• $100M+ monthly trading volume

• 20+ approved platforms

• 5,000+ markets created

• 50k+ monthly active users

• 50M+ PATH staked (5% of supply)

Phase 4: Decentralization

Objectives:

• DAO governance transition

• Community control of parameters

• Protocol sustainability

• Feature expansion

Governance Transition:

Soft Governance
├─> Community proposals (non-binding)
├─> PATH staker signaling
└─> Team implements popular proposals

Hybrid Governance
├─> Binding votes on parameters
├─> Timelock multisig (5-of-9)
└─> Community veto power

Full DAO
├─> On-chain governance contracts
├─> Automated proposal execution
└─> Community-controlled treasury

Parameter Governance:

• Fee rate adjustments

• Platform stake requirements

• Oracle parameters

• Treasury allocations

• Protocol upgrades

Advanced Features:

1. Limit Orders

• Place orders at specific prices

• LMSR fills when price reached

• No order book fragmentation

1. Conditional Markets

• Contingent predictions

• Example: "If Bitcoin >$100k, will Ethereum >$10k?"

1. Market Templates

• Pre-built market structures

• Simplified creation flow

• Standardized resolution criteria

1. Advanced Analytics

• Market depth visualization

• Historical price charts

• Volume analytics

• Creator leaderboards