9.4 Augur

Strengths:

  • True decentralization

  • Established track record

  • Multi-outcome support

  • Decentralized oracle (REP staking)

Weaknesses:

  • Ethereum gas costs ($5-$50 per trade)

  • Complex UX (high learning curve)

  • LP capital requirements

  • Low liquidity on most markets

  • Slow oracle resolution

Path Advantage:

  • Solana speed and cost (<$0.01 per trade)

  • LMSR eliminates LP requirements

  • Simpler UX (embedded in platforms)

  • Faster resolution (commit-reveal in 2-4 days)

  • Platform ecosystem for distribution

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