10.3 Technical Risks

Smart Contract Vulnerabilities

Risk:

Bugs or exploits in Solana programs could result in:

  • Loss of user funds

  • Incorrect market resolutions

  • Fee theft or manipulation

  • Protocol shutdown

Mitigation:

  • Tier-1 security audits (Zellic, OtterSec, Neodyme)

  • $100k+ bug bounty program

  • Gradual rollout (testnet → devnet → mainnet)

  • Emergency pause functionality (governance-controlled)

  • Insurance fund for critical bugs

Residual Risk:

Zero-day vulnerabilities may exist despite audits. Complex interactions between 4 programs increase attack surface.

Oracle Manipulation

Risk:

Oracles could collude to resolve markets incorrectly, stealing user funds.

Mitigation:

  • Economic security (staking requirements)

  • Commit-reveal prevents coordination

  • Slashing for dishonest oracles

  • Dispute mechanism with extended voting

  • Weighted voting (Sybil resistance)

Example Attack Analysis:

Residual Risk:

Highly motivated attackers with deep pockets could still attempt manipulation on high-value markets. Requires ongoing oracle network monitoring.

Solana Network Dependencies

Risk:

Path Protocol depends on Solana blockchain infrastructure:

  • Network outages (historical precedent)

  • Congestion during high demand

  • Consensus failures

  • Validator centralization

Mitigation:

  • Transaction retry logic in SDK

  • Graceful degradation during congestion

  • Priority fee implementation

  • Multi-RPC endpoint redundancy

  • Monitoring and alerting systems

Residual Risk:

Major Solana outages could temporarily halt trading. Markets would remain safe (funds locked on-chain), but UX degraded.

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